Sunday, March 14, 2010

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

I tried to normalize things by only measuring efficiency margin in conference games for top 100 RPI teams. The good thing is that it eliminates a lot of games by non-power conference teams against the dregs of society and shows you how these teams did against the type of team in the tourney. The bad thing is that it leaves a few teams with a small sample (Gonzaga, Butler, St. Mary's, to name the obvious). I tested this on last year's field and it gets you 6-7 out of 8 elite 8 teams so maybe it's worthwhile. If you don't believe a mid-major is going to make it to the elite 8, just disregard them from the list.

Duke - 20.89
Gonzaga - 20.88
Butler - 18.61
Kansas - 14.52
Kentucky - 10.94
Syracuse - 9.99
UTEP - 9.90
California - 9.57
West Virginia - 7.53
Ohio State - 7.17
Baylor - 6.66
Richmond - 6.53
Purdue - 6.19
Kansas State - 5.36
Villanova - 4.15
Temple - 4.03
Wisconsin - 3.83
Maryland - 3.35
Pitt - 3.23
Vanderbilt - 2.94

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