Wednesday, March 19, 2014

South Region



Here are the ASM scores for the South Region.

South
1
Florida
16.3
4
South
4
UCLA
14.3
10
South
2
Kansas
14.2
11
South
6
Ohio State
13.4
16
South
9
Pittsburgh
12.6
21
South
5
VCU
12.3
25
South
7
New Mexico
12.1
26
South
12
Stephen F. Austin
11.6
28
South
3
Syracuse
11.1
30
South
10
Stanford
8.4
41
South
11
Dayton
7.8
46
South
13
Tulsa
7.6
47
South
8
Colorado
7.2
49
South
15
Eastern Kentucky
5.5
56
South
14
Western Michigan
4.4
60
South
16
Albany
1.5
64
South
16
Mount St. Mary's
-2.8
68

Far right column is overall ASM rank. And remember that I said 25 of the last 40 Final Four teams had top 15 ASM scores. So if you’re trying to reduce risk, you’re looking at Florida, UCLA and Kansas in this region. Here’s what the crowd is saying on ESPN.

South
1. Florida: 62 percent
2. Kansas: 16.8 percent
3. Syracuse: 11.8 percent
4. UCLA: 2.9 percent

Want to take a flier on a team? How about UCLA? Kansas has injury concerns. Florida is the best team in the country. But UCLA doesn’t exactly stink. I’ll do this in one of my three pools.

West Region



Here are the ASM scores for the West Region:

West
1
Arizona
19.4
2
West
3
Creighton
14.352
9
West
9
Oklahoma State
13.8
13
West
8
Gonzaga
13.6
15
West
2
Wisconsin
13.3
17
West
4
San Diego State
12.7
20
West
7
Oregon
11.1
31
West
13
New Mexico State
10.8
32
West
5
Oklahoma
9.9
36
West
12
North Dakota State
9.5
37
West
6
Baylor
9.2
38
West
14
La-Lafayette
7.9
44
West
10
BYU
6.0
54
West
11
Nebraska
5.8
55
West
15
American
4.8
59
West
16
Weber State
3.8
61

Again, as far as most likely Final Four teams, Arizona, Creighton, Oklahoma State and Gonzaga (though I have a Gonzaga Corollary with this and that’s never pick Gonzaga) are the ones you should look at. Here’s what the crowd says:

West
1. Arizona: 48.2 percent
2. Wisconsin: 20.7 percent
3. Creighton: 12.5 percent
9. Oklahoma State: 5.9 percent

I have to admit: Oklahoma State is very worrisome here. However, I’m probably going to ride with Arizona in all three of my pools – mostly because I don’t really believe in any of these other teams. Especially Wisconsin.