Tuesday, March 15, 2011
Efficiency Margin vs. Top 100 RPI
I didn’t do this for the whole field, but I feel fairly confident that the winner of the tournament will come from this group.
The top teams listed will be a recurring theme in all the metrics, but let me point a couple things out:
· Ohio State and Kansas have been good against top teams all year. Really good.
· This won’t be the last time I say this: Washington, despite all it’s ups and downs this year, is not an unreasonable pick to beat North Carolina.
· The BYU figure can’t account for the loss of its top rebounder. So, I probably won’t be picking them to go to the Final Four based on this metric. They will probably win the whole thing now.
· Check out Notre Dame. When they looked like they were heading for a #1 seed, I was ecstatic. I was going to pick against them as much as I could. I believe they are a fraud. This does not dissuade me.
Region
Seed
Team
Top100 RPI EM
East 1 Ohio State 17.32
East 8 George Mason 12.07
East 7 Washington 7.30
East 6 Xavier 5.87
East 2 North Carolina 5.86
East 3 Syracuse 5.84
East 4 Kentucky 5.20
East 9 Villanova 2.73
East 5 West Virginia 2.00
East 11 Marquette 0.08
East 10 Georgia -2.70
Southeast 3 BYU 10.94
Southeast 1 Pittsburgh 10.72
Southeast 2 Florida 9.55
Southeast 4 Wisconsin 8.24
Southeast 9 Old Dominion 2.27
Southeast 6 St. John's 0.96
Southeast 8 Butler 0.78
Southeast 11 Gonzaga 0.62
Southeast 5 Kansas State 0.60
Southeast 7 UCLA 0.38
Southeast 10 Michigan State -5.92
Southeast 12 Utah State -6.52
Southwest 1 Kansas 15.71
Southwest 3 Purdue 10.58
Southwest 5 Vanderbilt 3.79
Southwest 2 Notre Dame 3.68
Southwest 4 Louisville 3.59
Southwest 9 Illinois 2.36
Southwest 6 Georgetown 0.72
Southwest 12 Richmond 0.41
Southwest 8 UNLV -2.50
Southwest 10 Florida State -6.06
West 1 Duke 10.72
West 2 San Diego State 9.28
West 4 Texas 8.75
West 6 Cincinatti 6.07
West 9 Tennessee 2.30
West 3 Connecticut 2.21
West 7 Temple 1.20
West 11 Missouri 0.84
West 8 Michigan -3.30
West 5 Arizona -4.68
The top teams listed will be a recurring theme in all the metrics, but let me point a couple things out:
· Ohio State and Kansas have been good against top teams all year. Really good.
· This won’t be the last time I say this: Washington, despite all it’s ups and downs this year, is not an unreasonable pick to beat North Carolina.
· The BYU figure can’t account for the loss of its top rebounder. So, I probably won’t be picking them to go to the Final Four based on this metric. They will probably win the whole thing now.
· Check out Notre Dame. When they looked like they were heading for a #1 seed, I was ecstatic. I was going to pick against them as much as I could. I believe they are a fraud. This does not dissuade me.
Region
Seed
Team
Top100 RPI EM
East 1 Ohio State 17.32
East 8 George Mason 12.07
East 7 Washington 7.30
East 6 Xavier 5.87
East 2 North Carolina 5.86
East 3 Syracuse 5.84
East 4 Kentucky 5.20
East 9 Villanova 2.73
East 5 West Virginia 2.00
East 11 Marquette 0.08
East 10 Georgia -2.70
Southeast 3 BYU 10.94
Southeast 1 Pittsburgh 10.72
Southeast 2 Florida 9.55
Southeast 4 Wisconsin 8.24
Southeast 9 Old Dominion 2.27
Southeast 6 St. John's 0.96
Southeast 8 Butler 0.78
Southeast 11 Gonzaga 0.62
Southeast 5 Kansas State 0.60
Southeast 7 UCLA 0.38
Southeast 10 Michigan State -5.92
Southeast 12 Utah State -6.52
Southwest 1 Kansas 15.71
Southwest 3 Purdue 10.58
Southwest 5 Vanderbilt 3.79
Southwest 2 Notre Dame 3.68
Southwest 4 Louisville 3.59
Southwest 9 Illinois 2.36
Southwest 6 Georgetown 0.72
Southwest 12 Richmond 0.41
Southwest 8 UNLV -2.50
Southwest 10 Florida State -6.06
West 1 Duke 10.72
West 2 San Diego State 9.28
West 4 Texas 8.75
West 6 Cincinatti 6.07
West 9 Tennessee 2.30
West 3 Connecticut 2.21
West 7 Temple 1.20
West 11 Missouri 0.84
West 8 Michigan -3.30
West 5 Arizona -4.68
